Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

The Retail Sales ex Autos released by the US Census Bureau is a monthly data that shows all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes except the automobile sector. The retail sales index is often taken as an indicator of consumer confidence. This report is the "advance" report, which can be revised fairly significantly after the final numbers are calculated. The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the USD.

Most recent - Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30

Previous
0.4%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.2%
Actual
0.1%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) was 0.1% against a forecast of 0.2%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.4%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.4%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
-0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.2%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.4%
1.1%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.5%
0.3%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
0.2%
-0.6%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.2%
0.4%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.2%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
0%
0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
1%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
0.1%
0.1%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.8%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.1%
-0.1%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
0.8%
2.3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.4%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
0.2%
-0.2%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
0.4%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
-0.1%
0.1%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0.1%
-0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
-0.1%
0.4%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
0.6%
1%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
0.8%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
0.3%
0.6%
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
1%
1.1%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30
0.9%
0.2%
Wednesday 16 February 2022 13:30
0.8%
3.3%
Friday 14 January 2022 13:30
0.2%
-2.3%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 13:30
0.9%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 November 2021 13:30
1%
1.7%
Friday 15 October 2021 12:30
0.5%
0.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change6970.1
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation(no change)3.1%3.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.6%2.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.5%2.2%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.5%0.2%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-5.5%0.6%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change9.9%0%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change10.3%-0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change-0.1%0.5%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)3%3%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)2.5%2.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change222K218K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.2%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)2.5%2.5%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change10.3%-4.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.1%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change54.654.4
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change47.947
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change55.755.4
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change1.5%-2.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change231K219K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change-71.7
Fed Interest Rate DecisionBearish change5.5%5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBearish change4.1%3.4%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBearish change3.1%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd year(no change)2.9%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - CurrentBearish change5.1%4.4%
Interest Rate Projections - LongerBullish change2.8%2.9%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.406M1.475M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.237M1.356M
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.6%0.8%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.1%0.1%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.4%0.3%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-4.711.5

About Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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