Fed Interest Rate Decision

The US Federal Reserve has a policy meeting every five to eight weeks, and its single most significant decision is interest rates. A rise is taken to mean a healthy economy, and is bullish for USD. A rate cut sends the opposite signal. If the rate is left unchanged, the market can still be significantly removed by remarks during the subsequent FOMC Press Conference, starting 30 minutes after the rate announcement.

Most recent - Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00

Previous
5.5%
Forecast
5.5%
Actual
5.5%

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Fed Interest Rate Decision was 5.5% against a forecast of 5.5%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 1 May 2024 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 20 March 2024 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 19:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 13 December 2023 19:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 1 November 2023 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 20 September 2023 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 26 July 2023 18:00
5.5%
5.5%
Wednesday 14 June 2023 18:00
5.25%
5.25%
Wednesday 3 May 2023 18:00
5.25%
5.25%
Wednesday 22 March 2023 18:00
5%
5%
Wednesday 1 February 2023 19:00
4.75%
4.75%
Wednesday 14 December 2022 19:00
4.5%
4.5%
Wednesday 2 November 2022 18:00
4%
4%
Wednesday 21 September 2022 18:00
3.25%
3.25%
Wednesday 27 July 2022 18:00
2.5%
2.5%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 18:00
1.5%
1.75%
Wednesday 4 May 2022 18:00
1%
1%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 18:00
0.5%
0.5%
Wednesday 26 January 2022 19:00
0.25%
0.25%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 19:00
0.25%
0.25%
Wednesday 3 November 2021 18:00
0.25%
0.25%
Wednesday 22 September 2021 18:00
-
0.25%
Wednesday 28 July 2021 18:00
0.25%
0.25%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Fed Interest Rate Decision result:

PreviousLatest
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-7.7%-2.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change3.6%3.7%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change0.6%0.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change0%-0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.4%-0.1%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change1.3%1.4%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)3.1%3.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change238K233K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.2%-0.6%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change3.3%3.4%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change2%-11.3%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.2%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-1.9%-0.7%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.554.6
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change51.351.7
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change54.855.1
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.44M1.386M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.352M1.277M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change243K238K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change4.51.3
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change0%0.9%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.1%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change-0.5%0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)(no change)-0.1%-0.1%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-15.6-6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change69.165.6
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.1%

About Fed Interest Rate Decision

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Federal Reserve
Category:Interest Rates
Frequency:Weekly/week-based
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