Chicago Fed National Activity Index

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI), released by Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Most recent - Tuesday 25 June 2024 12:30

Previous
-0.23
Revised
-0.26
Forecast
-
Actual
0.18

Next event - Thursday 25 July 2024 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

There is no forecast value for Chicago Fed National Activity Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Chicago Fed National Activity Index was 0.18.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 25 June 2024 12:30
-
0.18
Thursday 23 May 2024 12:30
-
-0.23
Monday 22 April 2024 12:30
-
0.15
Monday 25 March 2024 12:30
-
0.05
Thursday 22 February 2024 13:30
-
-0.3
Thursday 25 January 2024 13:30
-
-0.15
Tuesday 26 December 2023 13:30
-
0.03
Tuesday 21 November 2023 13:30
-
-0.49
Monday 23 October 2023 12:30
-
0.02
Monday 25 September 2023 12:30
-
-0.16
Thursday 24 August 2023 12:30
-
0.12
Monday 24 July 2023 12:30
0.03
-0.32
Thursday 22 June 2023 12:30
0
-0.15
Thursday 25 May 2023 12:30
-0.02
0.07
Monday 24 April 2023 12:30
-0.02
-0.19
Thursday 23 March 2023 12:30
0
-0.19
Thursday 23 February 2023 13:30
0.03
0.23
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
-
-0.49
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
-
-0.51
Monday 21 November 2022 13:30
-
-0.05
Monday 24 October 2022 12:30
-0.04
0.1
Monday 26 September 2022 12:30
0.08
0
Monday 22 August 2022 12:30
-
0.27
Monday 25 July 2022 12:30
-0.03
-0.19
Tuesday 21 June 2022 12:30
-
0.01
Monday 23 May 2022 12:30
-
0.47
Monday 25 April 2022 12:30
0.21
0.44
Monday 21 March 2022 12:30
0.29
0.51
Thursday 24 February 2022 13:30
-0.08
0.69
Monday 24 January 2022 13:30
-
-0.15
Wednesday 22 December 2021 13:30
-
0.37
Monday 22 November 2021 13:30
-
0.76
Monday 25 October 2021 12:30
-
-0.13
Thursday 23 September 2021 12:30
-
0.29
Monday 23 August 2021 12:30
-
0.53
Thursday 22 July 2021 12:30
-
0.09

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Chicago Fed National Activity Index result:

PreviousLatest
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-7.7%-2.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change3.6%3.7%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change0.6%0.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change0%-0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.4%-0.1%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change1.3%1.4%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)3.1%3.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change238K233K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.2%-0.6%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change3.3%3.4%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change2%-11.3%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.2%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-1.9%-0.7%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.554.6
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change51.351.7
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change54.855.1
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.44M1.386M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.352M1.277M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change243K238K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change4.51.3
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change0%0.9%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.1%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change-0.5%0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)(no change)-0.1%-0.1%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-15.6-6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change69.165.6
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.1%

About Chicago Fed National Activity Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Category:Economic Activity
Frequency:Monthly

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