Autumn Forecast Statement

Autumn Forecast Statement is is one of the two statements HM Treasury makes each year to Parliament upon publication of economic forecasts. This document provides an updated economic outlook and previews the government's budget for the coming year, including expected spending and income levels, borrowing levels, and financial objectives. It also contains comments on the latest independent economic forecasts prepared by the OBR.

Most recent - Wednesday 30 October 2024 12:45

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Date
Wednesday 30 October 2024 12:45
Wednesday 22 November 2023 12:45
Thursday 17 November 2022 12:45

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for GBP. The following recent announcements may affect the market reaction to Autumn Forecast Statement:

PreviousLatest
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMIBearish change51.849.9
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBearish change49.948.6
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMIBearish change5250
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.7%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change3.2%2.4%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.9%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)Bearish change3.2%2%
GfK Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-21-18
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.6%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.7%2.3%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.3%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.aBullish change0%0.3%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a Bullish change1.4%1.7%
Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.aBullish change-0.4%0%
Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.aBearish change-0.6%-0.8%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.3%0.5%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%3.4%
Gross Domestic Product (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.1%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bearish change0.5%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change0.7%1%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.5%
Manufacturing Production (MoM)Bearish change1.3%-1%
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bearish change4.9%4.8%
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bullish change3.9%4.3%
Claimant Count ChangeBearish change10.1K26.7K
Claimant Count Rate(no change)4.7%4.7%
Employment Change (3M)Bearish change373K219K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)Bearish change4%4.3%

About Autumn Forecast Statement

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:
Category:Politics
Frequency:Irregular
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