IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM)

Economic optimism index, by TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP) of The Investor's Business Daily (IBD) published, this index measures consumers' sentiments related to economic conditions. The report is based on a monthly survey in which nearly 1,000 adults nationwide assess their economic prospects over the next six months, their personal financial views and beliefs about economic policies. federal. If consumers are optimistic, they will buy more goods and services, which will cause domestic demand to grow and stimulate the economy. An index above 50 indicates consumer optimism and a index below 50 indicates consumer pessimism.

Next event - Tuesday 1 July 2025 14:00

Previous
49.2
Forecast
50.1
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

The consensus forecast for IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) is 50.1. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Most recent - Tuesday 3 June 2025 14:00

Previous
47.9
Forecast
49.1
Actual
49.2

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) was 49.2 against a forecast of 49.1.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 3 June 2025 14:00
49.1
49.2
Tuesday 6 May 2025 14:00
50.2
47.9
Tuesday 1 April 2025 14:35
50.1
49.1
Tuesday 4 March 2025 15:05
53.1
49.8
Tuesday 4 February 2025 15:00
53
52
Tuesday 14 January 2025 15:00
55.1
51.9
Tuesday 3 December 2024 15:00
54.1
54
Tuesday 12 November 2024 15:00
47.3
53.2
Tuesday 8 October 2024 14:00
47.2
46.9
Tuesday 3 September 2024 14:00
46.2
46.1
Tuesday 6 August 2024 14:00
45
44.5
Tuesday 2 July 2024 14:00
-
44.2
Tuesday 4 June 2024 14:00
45.2
40.5
Tuesday 7 May 2024 14:00
44.1
41.8
Tuesday 9 April 2024 14:05
44.2
43.2
Tuesday 5 March 2024 15:30
45.2
43.5
Tuesday 6 February 2024 15:00
47.2
44
Tuesday 9 January 2024 15:00
42
44.7
Tuesday 5 December 2023 15:00
45.2
40
Tuesday 7 November 2023 15:15
-
44.5
Tuesday 3 October 2023 14:00
41.6
36.3
Wednesday 6 September 2023 14:03
41.1
43.2
Tuesday 8 August 2023 14:00
43
40.3
Tuesday 11 July 2023 14:00
45.3
41.3
Tuesday 6 June 2023 14:00
45.2
41.7
Tuesday 9 May 2023 14:00
48.2
41.6
Tuesday 4 April 2023 14:00
-
47.4
Tuesday 7 March 2023 15:00
-
46.9
Tuesday 7 February 2023 15:00
-
45.1
Tuesday 10 January 2023 15:00
-
42.3
Tuesday 13 December 2022 15:00
41.3
42.9
Tuesday 8 November 2022 15:00
-
40.4
Tuesday 11 October 2022 14:00
-
41.6
Tuesday 13 September 2022 14:00
-
44.7
Tuesday 9 August 2022 14:00
-
38.1
Tuesday 12 July 2022 14:00
-
38.5

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Chicago PMIBearish change40.540.4
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBearish change58.458.1
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change60.560.7
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change5.1%5%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change4.1%4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.6%2.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.1%0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.2%2.3%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.7%-0.4%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.2%-0.1%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-6.3%1.8%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change3.4%3.5%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-6.6%16.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-7.7%15.5%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0%0.5%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change-0.2%-0.5%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change3.7%3.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change245K236K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-1.4%1.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change3.6%3.7%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change9.6%-13.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.4%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-0.5%0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change5352.8
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI(no change)5252
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change53.753.1
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey(no change)-4-4
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)4.5%4.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change3.4%3.6%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.1%3.4%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)3.9%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)3%3%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.422M1.393M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.392M1.256M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change250K245K
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.2%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change-0.1%-0.9%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change-0.1%0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.3%

About IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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