Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Most recent - Thursday 16 July 2026 12:30

Previous
1%
Revised
1%
Forecast
0.2%
Actual
0.2%

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was 0.2% against a forecast of 0.2%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 16 July 2026 12:30
0.2%
0.2%
Wednesday 17 June 2026 12:30
0.5%
0.9%
Thursday 14 May 2026 12:30
0.5%
0.5%
Tuesday 21 April 2026 12:30
1.4%
1.7%
Wednesday 1 April 2026 12:30
0.5%
0.6%
Tuesday 17 March 2026 12:30
-
-
Friday 6 March 2026 13:30
-0.3%
-0.2%
Tuesday 10 February 2026 13:30
0.4%
0%
Wednesday 14 January 2026 13:30
0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 16 December 2025 13:30
0.1%
0%
Tuesday 25 November 2025 13:30
0.4%
0.2%
Friday 14 November 2025 13:30
0.4%
-
Thursday 16 October 2025 12:30
0.4%
-
Tuesday 16 September 2025 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Friday 15 August 2025 12:30
0.5%
0.5%
Thursday 17 July 2025 12:30
0.1%
0.6%
Tuesday 17 June 2025 12:30
-0.7%
-0.9%
Thursday 15 May 2025 12:30
0%
0.1%
Wednesday 16 April 2025 12:30
1.3%
1.4%
Monday 17 March 2025 12:30
0.7%
0.2%
Friday 14 February 2025 13:30
-0.1%
-0.9%
Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30
0.6%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30
0.5%
0.7%
Friday 15 November 2024 13:30
0.3%
0.4%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
-0.2%
0.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.3%
1%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0%
0%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.4%
0%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.8%
0.6%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
-0.1%
-0.8%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.4%
0.6%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
-0.3%
-0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBullish change5455.4
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change54.455.2
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations(no change)4.2%4.2%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation(no change)3.3%3.3%
Chicago PMIBullish change56.757.6
Employment Cost Index(no change)0.9%0.9%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.4%3.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change4.4%3.4%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change2.1%1.5%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change3.6%6.3%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change188K197K
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change4.1%3.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change4.6%5.1%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.2%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.9%0.3%
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)3.75%3.75%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.3%
ADP Employment Change 4-week averageBearish change16.25K15K
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-4%0.3%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-4.3%0.3%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change1.8%0.6%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change1.9%0.9%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-4.3%1.6%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change51.953.6
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change53.953.8
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change51.253.6
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change209K187K
ADP Employment Change 4-week averageBearish change19.25K16.5K

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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