ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations
Most recent - Thursday 5 June 2025 12:15
Previous
2.4%
Forecast
2.15%
Actual
2.15%
Next event - Thursday 24 July 2025 12:15
Previous
2.15%
Forecast
2.15%
Actual
-
The typical/expected impact on EUR pairs is high.
The consensus forecast for ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations is 2.15%.
Trading range
Forecast history
The most recent announced value for ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations was 2.15% against a forecast of 2.15%.
Past events
Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 5 June 2025 12:15
2.15%
2.15%
Thursday 17 April 2025 12:15
2.4%
2.4%
Thursday 6 March 2025 13:15
2.65%
2.65%
Thursday 30 January 2025 13:15
2.9%
2.9%
Thursday 12 December 2024 13:15
3.15%
3.15%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:15
3.4%
3.4%
Thursday 12 September 2024 12:15
3.65%
3.65%
Thursday 18 July 2024 12:15
4.25%
4.25%
Thursday 6 June 2024 12:15
4.25%
4.25%
Thursday 11 April 2024 12:15
4.5%
4.5%
Thursday 7 March 2024 13:15
4.5%
4.5%
Thursday 25 January 2024 13:15
4.5%
4.5%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:15
4.5%
4.5%
Thursday 26 October 2023 12:15
4.5%
4.5%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:15
4.25%
4.5%
Thursday 27 July 2023 12:15
4.25%
4.25%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:15
4%
4%
Thursday 4 May 2023 12:15
3.75%
3.75%
Thursday 16 March 2023 13:15
3.5%
3.5%
Thursday 2 February 2023 13:15
3%
3%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:15
2.5%
2.5%
Thursday 27 October 2022 12:15
2%
2%
Thursday 8 September 2022 12:15
1.25%
1.25%
Economic context
Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations result:
| Previous | Latest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Producer Price Index (MoM) | Bullish change | -0.2% | 0.1% | ||
| Producer Price Index (YoY) | Bearish change | -1.2% | -1.3% | ||
| Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) | (no change) | 0.4% | 0.4% | ||
| Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) | (no change) | 2.3% | 2.3% | ||
| Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) | (no change) | 0.3% | 0.3% | ||
| Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) | Bullish change | 1.7% | 1.8% | ||
| Consumer Price Index (YoY) | (no change) | 1.7% | 1.7% | ||
| ZEW Survey – Current Situation | Bullish change | -72 | -59.5 | ||
| ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment | Bullish change | 47.5 | 52.7 | ||
| Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) | Bullish change | -2.2% | 1.7% | ||
| ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment | Bullish change | 35.3 | 36.1 | ||
| Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) | Bullish change | 2.2% | 2.3% | ||
| Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) | Bullish change | 0.8% | 0.9% | ||
| Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) | (no change) | 0.1% | 0.1% | ||
| Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) | (no change) | 2% | 2% | ||
| Trade Balance s.a. | Bullish change | €15.8B | €18.4B |
About ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations
| Country: | Eurozone |
|---|---|
| Currency: | EUR |
| Source: | European Central Bank |
| Category: | Interest Rates |
| Frequency: | Weekly/week-based |
Related events
| Australia | RBA Interest Rate Decision | ||
| Canada | BoC Interest Rate Decision | ||
| Switzerland | SNB Interest Rate Decision | ||
| Japan | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | ||
| New Zealand | RBNZ Interest Rate Decision | ||
| United Kingdom | BoE Interest Rate Decision | ||
| United States | Fed Interest Rate Decision | ||
| China | PBoC Interest Rate Decision | ||
| India | RBI Interest Rate Decision (Repo Rate) | ||
| South Korea | BoK Interest Rate Decision | ||
| Mexico | Central Bank Interest Rate | ||
| Norway | Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision | ||
| Russian Federation | Interest rate decision | ||
| Sweden | Riksbank Interest Rate Decision | ||
| Turkey | CBRT Interest Rate Decision |
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